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Abstract In this paper, NeuralProphet (NP), an explainable hybrid modular framework, enhances the forecasting performance of pandemics by adding two neural network modules; auto-regressor (AR) and lagged-regressor (LR). An advanced deep auto-regressor neural network (Deep-AR-Net) model is employed to implement these two modules. The enhanced NP is optimized via AdamW and Huber loss function to perform multivariate multi-step forecasting contrast to Prophet. The models are validated with COVID-19 time-series datasets. The NP’s efficiency is studied component-wise for a long-term forecast for India and an overall reduction of 60.36% and individually 34.7% by AR-module, 53.4% by LR-module in MASE compared to Prophet. The Deep-AR-Net model reduces the forecasting error of NP for all five countries, on average, by 49.21% and 46.07% for short-and-long-term, respectively. The visualizations confirm that forecasting curves are closer to the actual cases but significantly different from Prophet. Hence, it can develop a real-time decision-making system for highly infectious diseases.more » « less
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The global rise in heart disease necessitates precise prediction tools to assess individual risk levels. This paper introduces a novel Multi-Objective Artificial Bee Colony Optimized Hybrid Deep Belief Network and XGBoost (HDBN-XG) algorithm, enhancing coronary heart disease prediction accuracy. Key physiological data, including Electrocardiogram (ECG) readings and blood volume measurements, are analyzed. The HDBN-XG algorithm assesses data quality, normalizes using z-score values, extracts features via the Computational Rough Set method, and constructs feature subsets using the Multi-Objective Artificial Bee Colony approach. Our findings indicate that the HDBN-XG algorithm achieves an accuracy of 99%, precision of 95%, specificity of 98%, sensitivity of 97%, and F1-measure of 96%, outperforming existing classifiers. This paper contributes to predictive analytics by offering a data-driven approach to healthcare, providing insights to mitigate the global impact of coronary heart disease.more » « less
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Introduction: Essential genes are essential for the survival of various species. These genes are a family linked to critical cellular activities for species survival. These genes are coded for proteins that regulate central metabolism, gene translation, deoxyribonucleic acid replication, and fundamental cellular structure and facilitate intracellular and extracellular transport. Essential genes preserve crucial genomics information that may hold the key to a detailed knowledge of life and evolution. Essential gene studies have long been regarded as a vital topic in computational biology due to their relevance. An essential gene is composed of adenine, guanine, cytosine, and thymine and its various combinations. Methods: This paper presents a novel method of extracting information on the stationary patterns of nucleotides such as adenine, guanine, cytosine, and thymine in each gene. For this purpose, some co-occurrence matrices are derived that provide the statistical distribution of stationary patterns of nucleotides in the genes, which is helpful in establishing the relationship between the nucleotides. For extracting discriminant features from each co-occurrence matrix, energy, entropy, homogeneity, contrast, and dissimilarity features are computed, which are extracted from all co-occurrence matrices and then concatenated to form a feature vector representing each essential gene. Finally, supervised machine learning algorithms are applied for essential gene classification based on the extracted fixed-dimensional feature vectors. Results: For comparison, some existing state-of-the-art feature representation techniques such as Shannon entropy (SE), Hurst exponent (HE), fractal dimension (FD), and their combinations have been utilized. Discussion: An extensive experiment has been performed for classifying the essential genes of five species that show the robustness and effectiveness of the proposed methodology.more » « less
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